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Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Deckers Outdoor Stock is Down



Despite the fact that UGG Australia brand UGGs are selling like crazy, Decker's stock is down, because investors fear that UGG boots are a trend. Silly investors - don't they understand that UGGs aren't a trend? Trends don't last year after year after year!

From Investopedia

Deckers' UGG brand had another good year in 2008. Unfortunately, its stock didn't. The company's stock is down 56% since May, despite analyst predictions of full-year revenues totaling $667.2 million and an earnings per share (EPS) of $6.95. With sales growing 52% in 2008, I have to wonder about the low valuation. Some feel UGG's popularity will fade. But we're not talking about Crocs (Nasdaq:CROX) here. If UGG falls out of fashion favor, it likely won't happen for another couple of years. By then, the EPS could be in the $10-plus range.

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